Corporate Finance Associates Blog

I thought this was a very good article that covered the prospects for the Buy to Let (B2L) sector for next year so I have reproduced it in full and the original can be read here.  

Buy-to-let market positive for 2011

Commenting on the prospects for the sector over the next 12 months, Nigel Terrington, chief executive of Buy to Let mortgage specialist Paragon Group, said: “2010 has provided a solid base for the buy-to-let market on which to build over the next 12 months. Both the number of lenders and products has increased and gross advances are expected to be up at least 10% on 2009 numbers.

“I expect that positive sentiment to continue into the New Year. Gross lending will rise steadily during 2011 and, in the absence of any major economic downturn, should finish between 10% to 15% higher than 2010 levels. However, it will be some time before we see levels of lending that are consistent with ‘normal’ market conditions.

“Strong levels of tenant demand will continue into 2011, particularly given the Government’s planned changes to social housing, and this will provide the continued stimulus for the growth of buy-to-let lending.

“There will be strong opportunities for commercial brokers to meet the more complex needs of buy-to-let borrowers, especially for Houses in Multiple Occupation style property, where we see a growing market. As the Council of Mortgage Lenders recently stated, low levels of activity in the owner-occupier market will remain a feature in 2011 due to ongoing funding constraints, regulatory pressures and uncertain economic conditions, and this will create further pressure on the private rented sector.

“Landlords should profit from lower void periods and strengthening yields given rising rental levels and a flat housing market. I expect the buy-to-let mortgage arrears level to be flat to falling as landlords benefit from excellent levels of tenant demand and low borrowing costs, although landlords must be cautious of tenant unemployment and arrears.

“There will be a dislocation between the job losses caused by public sector spending cuts being ironed out by growth in the private sector and we are likely to see unemployment rise during the year. Landlords need to ensure that they have adequate rent guarantee insurance in place to protect themselves against defaulting tenants

We tend to agree with this lender’s sentiments, so if you have a proposition that is worth investigating do get in touch.

As the UK funding market eases a little more and more businesses who have been biding their time for the last three years are making their funding plans for the future, but wow,  has the market changed or what and the biggest retort we have been hearing over the last few weeks has been – Why so many questions?

Prior to all of the credit crunch challenges kicking off way back in late 2007, we as reputable brokers had a lot of commercial broker wannabes ‘Eating our Lunch’ what with the tick here “just say you can afford it”, “we don’t need accounts with this lender”, “the property prices will go up so no one is really bothered…” market place.  Where have they all gone? – Either out of business or back to their old haunts thankfully and the regime of the specialist business finance broker has returned.

Our clients however still have that old way of thinking and can’t understand why lenders want so much information to support a lending proposition, maybe the drop (from the June 2007 peak) in commercial values by 33% could be part of it, maybe it is the underlying attitude of bankers who are sometimes seen as not wanting to lend, or a raft of other factors.  So I thought I would create this Blog post as some answers and clarification of the current situation.

First off – the old ways are dead and not likely to be revived for an awfully long time.

What do lenders look at, well three distinct areas:

1. Who is the borrower, what is their experience, what is their credit history like, do they have the skills to make this project work

 

2. How will they get repaid, it will either be from the trading income from the business, the sale value if it is a development or the rental income in the case of the investments, and

 

3. What is the security worth, how easily could it be let/sold, or how could the lender get out of it if things ever go wrong.

 

Before late 2007 if no. 3 was attractive enough lenders would lend which is why we saw the proliferation of self certification lenders, where are they now – all gone – there is not one reputable one of them left that operates that way.  The current thinking – if you can’t satisfy no. 2 the case will go nowhere.

Ah yes but what do lenders want here? – They want certainty which was never a given anyway, their way around it now, well they look for stress rate testing (NatWest are stress testing with a base rate of 6% – when was the last time it averaged that?) and this makes a lot of ‘normal’ transactions fall over.

But what if they are happy with that, why all the other questions and information? Perhaps we can look at those:-

CV’s      

They need to know the applicants background and skills that relate to the proposition

Asset & Liability statement         

They need to know what assets you have and how exposed you are to third party lending so everything has to be included

Income & Expenditure statement

If you are living beyond your means (or not actually declaring all of your income) the numbers here won’t add up, and a credit search will quickly reveal whether these numbers are right

Three months personal bank statements (sometimes 6 mths)

How do you manage your personal money, do you keep within agreed facilities, is all your income showing, who are you paying money out to – if you have a credit card payment to a lender that wasn’t recorded on your A&L statement expect questions – do the bank bounce anything – all these and more can be revealed in consecutively numbered (original) bank statements.

Three or six months business bank statements

Much the same as the personal assessment – can you manage your money and does it all show

Three years trading accounts

The big one! – can you pay the lender back based on past history, are the accounts improving or static, how exposed is the business to external lending, what are you paying yourself, and what ISN’T showing and of course how historic these figures are ( if they are over a year out of date expect more questions)!

Whilst this list isn’t exhaustive, trading companies are often asked to provide aged debtor and creditor lists to show how fast you pay your bills and how skilled you are at getting your invoices paid on time – none of this was absolutely necessary with a lot of non conforming lenders in 2007, but it has come as a shock to many that they need them now.

The banks are claiming that they are still lending to viable businesses, but of course that is their assessment of a viable business, how are they ensuring that they don’t lose out?  Well firstly reducing the amount in LTV terms they will lend, by shortening the loans so they amortise faster, by refusing to accept interest only propositions unless the LTV is very low and at the same time charging interest margins and fees twice the level they used to – why because they can.

If your business is now at the stage where you need to be thinking about moving forward, give us a call and we can at least point you in the right direction as to what is possible, why not get in touch by clicking here now.

Asset rich and cash poor, how many times have we heard that phraseology?  But what about ‘We can afford to pay it (the interest) and repay it on time but don’t have any money to put in’?  The concept of self certification mortgages has finally been put to rest and are no more, but we are still being asked to help businesses that espouse the latter scenario in that they will make good money from what they are doing, so repayments are easily covered, and will make a significant profit a short way down the line, but the lenders don’t like this approach.

The old saying about a banker is that he is someone who lends you an umbrella when the sun is shining but wants it back when the rain starts falling, very apt, but it should be remembered that is what they are, bankers, not property investors, not widget makers, not housing developers, so to expect them to take an entrepreneurs view rather than a risk takers view is wishful thinking.

Bankers want to see their borrowers share some of the risk, which is why even if a property can be bought cheaply, under what is deemed to be its market value, it is unrealistic to think that ALL of the money can be borrowed so some lenders have reverted to their ideal which is to lend a percentage of the market value or the purchase price whichever is the lower so that in every case the borrower is risking something, even if it is not cash but a charge on some other assets they own.

A good development deal is another case in point, the end profits may be good, but if the developer is taking no risk at all at any stage, even if they actually recoup it later, lenders won’t either.

Borrowing is a partnership, so put something of value on the line and you will get the support, try to do it without and the project will never happen.

The market has changed but realistic borrowers will still get the support their project deserves, they may just have to put the banker’s hat on for once.

If you have a proposition that merits investigation, do visit our contact page and get in touch, we will be honest enough to let you know what can be achieved.